Probability Aggregation
Enter probabilities (0-1) one per line to calculate various aggregation methods:
Laplace's Rule of Succession
Calculate probability using Laplace's rule based on past observations. For small numbers of future trials the naïve approach is fine, but for large number of future trials it becomes necessary to take into the account the decreasing probability in the conditionals where we don't observe new successes.
Date Calculations
Calculate days until future dates or days since past dates. Use YYYY/MM/DD format (e.g., 2024/12/25):
Beta Distribution Fitting
Find a beta distribution that fits your desired confidence interval. For example, to find a beta distribution whose 95% confidence interval is 0.2 to 0.8, input those values below:
Google Docs Combiner
Combine multiple Google Docs by their headers. Enter Google Docs URLs (one per line):